Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
