Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
