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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
E

Audax
1 - 0
Estudiantes

Agustin Palacios (6')
Cornejo (11'), Fernandez (25'), Henriquez (64')
Fernandez (78'), Torres (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Diaz (28'), Noguera (29'), Del Prete (37'), Mas (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Audax Italiano and Estudiantes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.

Result
Audax ItalianoDrawEstudiantes
40.36%24.08%35.55%
Both teams to score 60.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55%41.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15%63.85%
Audax Italiano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68%53.32%
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88%23.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02%56.98%
Score Analysis
    Audax Italiano 40.37%
    Estudiantes 35.55%
    Draw 24.08%
Audax ItalianoDrawEstudiantes
2-1 @ 8.69%
1-0 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.11%
0-3 @ 2.51%
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.55%

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