SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Platense had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Platense |
48.64% ( 0.54) | 28.6% ( -0.11) | 22.76% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.19% ( 0.06) | 64.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.24% ( 0.04) | 83.76% ( -0.04) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.3) | 27.02% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( 0.39) | 62.38% ( -0.39) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% ( -0.39) | 45.06% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.02% ( -0.32) | 80.98% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.93% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.76% |
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