Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.94%. A draw had a probability of 34.8% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (5.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (19.79%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.26) 
