Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Platense | Draw | Estudiantes |
39.8% ( -0.06) | 29.16% ( -0) | 31.04% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 43.77% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.14% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.64% ( 0.01) | 82.36% ( -0.01) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.14% ( -0.03) | 30.86% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.86% ( -0.03) | 67.14% ( 0.03) |
Estudiantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.3% ( 0.06) | 36.7% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.51% ( 0.06) | 73.49% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Platense | Draw | Estudiantes |
1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 31.04% |
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