SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Boca Juniors |
43.28% ( -0.14) | 27.89% ( 0.13) | 28.82% |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.69% ( -0.47) | 59.31% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.29% ( -0.37) | 79.71% ( 0.36) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( -0.3) | 27.18% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( -0.39) | 62.58% ( 0.38) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0.25) | 36.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( -0.26) | 73.27% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.88% Total : 28.82% |
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