SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
51.52% ( -0.1) | 27.38% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.21% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.59% ( 0.04) | 62.41% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( 0.03) | 82.04% ( -0.03) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.03) | 24.55% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( -0.04) | 59.03% ( 0.04) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.12) | 45.38% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.76% ( 0.1) | 81.24% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Deportivo Riestra |
| 1-0 @ 15.64% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.1% |
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