SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 37.5%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 30.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 1-2 (6.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.94%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (13.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
30.11% ( 0.03) | 32.39% ( 0.03) | 37.5% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.89% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.06) | 72.1% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.45% ( -0.04) | 88.55% ( 0.04) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.91% ( -0.01) | 79.08% ( 0.01) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.08) | 37.3% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.91% ( -0.08) | 74.09% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.11% | 0-0 @ 15.94% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 13.36% 2-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.37% | 0-1 @ 15.72% 0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 37.49% |
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