Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 33.5% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.31%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
