SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 33.5% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.31%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
41.94% ( 0.03) | 33.46% ( 0.01) | 24.6% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 31.68% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 24.21% ( -0.03) | 75.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 9.28% ( -0.02) | 90.72% ( 0.02) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.38% ( 0) | 36.62% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.59% ( 0) | 73.41% ( -0) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.07) | 50.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.33% ( -0.04) | 84.66% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 18.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.93% | 0-0 @ 18.31% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 33.45% | 0-1 @ 12.69% 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.06% Total : 24.6% |
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