SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Barracas Central |
47.63% ( -0.75) | 28.28% ( 0.32) | 24.09% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.72) | 62.98% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.54% ( -0.52) | 82.45% ( 0.52) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.7) | 26.67% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.08% ( -0.94) | 61.91% ( 0.94) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.33% | 42.67% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.99% | 79.01% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Barracas Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.03% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.81% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.07% Total : 24.09% |
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