SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
38.36% ( -0.17) | 28.47% ( 0.07) | 33.17% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.23) | 60.14% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% ( -0.17) | 80.35% ( 0.17) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.21) | 30.36% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.26) | 66.55% ( 0.26) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.05) | 33.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( -0.05) | 70.36% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.35% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.16% |
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