SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (13.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
34.28% ( 0.09) | 30.56% ( 0.41) | 35.16% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 40.69% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.19% ( -1.22) | 66.8% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.87% ( -0.83) | 85.13% ( 0.84) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% ( -0.6) | 36.51% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% ( -0.61) | 73.3% ( 0.62) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -1) | 35.9% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( -1.04) | 72.68% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.91% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.54% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.02% Total : 35.15% |
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