SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.67%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
31.22% ( -1.76) | 30.82% ( 0.07) | 37.96% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 39.65% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.38) | 67.85% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.17% ( -0.25) | 85.83% ( 0.26) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.64% ( -1.54) | 39.36% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.94% ( -1.47) | 76.06% ( 1.47) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.91) | 34.62% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.66% ( 0.96) | 71.34% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.48% Total : 31.22% | 0-0 @ 13.62% ( 0.19) 1-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.81% | 0-1 @ 14.45% ( 0.55) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.47)1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.95% |
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