SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.04%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
45.3% ( 0.04) | 29.71% ( -0) | 25% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.32% ( -0.01) | 66.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.96% ( -0.01) | 85.04% ( 0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( 0.01) | 29.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( 0.02) | 65.72% ( -0.02) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.04) | 43.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.9% ( -0.03) | 80.1% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 15.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.91% 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.32% Total : 45.29% | 0-0 @ 13.04% 1-1 @ 13.02% 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 24.99% |
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