SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.56%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Instituto |
54.78% ( 0.01) | 27.46% ( 0.01) | 17.76% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 36.81% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.34% ( -0.03) | 65.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.65% ( -0.02) | 84.34% ( 0.02) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( -0.01) | 24.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% ( -0.01) | 59% ( 0.01) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.77% ( -0.04) | 51.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.51% ( -0.03) | 85.49% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 17.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 2% Total : 54.76% | 0-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 8.41% 1-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 17.76% |
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