SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 42.48%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.57%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Banfield |
42.48% ( 0.49) | 31.05% ( -0.05) | 26.47% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 37.35% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.03) | 69.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.98% ( -0.02) | 87.03% ( 0.02) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.27) | 32.82% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0.31) | 69.39% ( -0.3) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.42) | 44.41% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( -0.34) | 80.46% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.72% Total : 42.47% | 0-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.05% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.74% Total : 26.47% |
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