Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 30.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.12%), while for a Huracan win it was 0-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
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