SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.53%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
44.55% ( 0.61) | 30.75% ( 0.01) | 24.7% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 36.94% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.31) | 69.59% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.02% ( -0.2) | 86.97% ( 0.2) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( 0.18) | 31.59% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.01% ( 0.21) | 67.99% ( -0.21) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.99% ( -0.77) | 46% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.27% ( -0.61) | 81.72% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 16.74% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.54% | 0-0 @ 14.53% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 30.74% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.55% Total : 24.7% |
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