SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.61%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Colon had a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Colon |
38.61% ( 0.41) | 31.37% ( 0.17) | 30.02% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 38.09% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.58) | 69.54% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.06% ( -0.38) | 86.94% ( 0.37) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.87% ( -0.06) | 35.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -0.06) | 71.87% ( 0.05) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.71% ( -0.81) | 41.29% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.19% ( -0.73) | 77.81% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Colon |
| 1-0 @ 15.17% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.6% | 0-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.31) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.36% | 0-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.25% Total : 30.02% |
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