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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
3 - 0
Barracas Central

Gimenez Rojas (27'), Gonzalez (36'), Martinez (60')
Perez (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Capraro (32'), Arce (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Colon
Monday, October 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 2-0 Barracas Central

Independiente have plenty of momentum on their side having enjoyed a seven-match unbeaten streak under Carlos Tevez, and although Barracas Central head into the trip on the back of a return to winning ways, they are yet to establish any real consistency this term, and we can only envisage a home victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
64.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.57% (0.0040000000000013 0) 12.77% (0.0029999999999983 0)
Both teams to score 38.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)17.31% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)47.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)86.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 64.64%
    Barracas Central 12.77%
    Draw 22.57%
IndependienteDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 16.22%
2-0 @ 14.23%
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 64.64%
1-1 @ 10.16%
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 3.18%
0-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Independiente
Saturday, September 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 0-0 Instituto
Sunday, September 24 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Independiente
Wednesday, September 20 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Huracan
Friday, September 15 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-2 Independiente
Saturday, September 2 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Colon
Monday, October 9 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Monday, October 2 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Talleres 4-0 Barracas Central
Tuesday, September 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-0 Banfield
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Barracas Central
Saturday, September 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 Arsenal
Monday, September 4 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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