Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
64.65% ( -0.01) | 22.57% ( 0) | 12.77% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 38.49% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.51% ( -0.01) | 57.49% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.71% ( -0.01) | 78.28% ( 0.01) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% ( -0.01) | 17.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.33% ( -0.01) | 47.67% ( 0.01) |
Barracas Central Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.54% ( -0) | 53.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.06% ( -0) | 86.93% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente | Draw | Barracas Central |
1-0 @ 16.22% 2-0 @ 14.23% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 64.64% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 0-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 1.98% Total : 12.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: