SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 41.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 28.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
41.4% ( 0.08) | 29.84% ( 0.03) | 28.76% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.42% ( -0.11) | 65.57% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.71% ( -0.08) | 84.29% ( 0.08) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.01) | 31.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.34% ( -0.01) | 67.65% ( 0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( -0.16) | 40.02% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% ( -0.14) | 76.67% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.4% | 1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.76% |
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