SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.98%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
47.61% ( -1.98) | 30.51% ( 0.55) | 21.88% ( 1.43) |
| Both teams to score 35.26% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.58% ( -0.47) | 70.42% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.5% ( -0.3) | 87.5% ( 0.29) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -1.28) | 30.35% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -1.55) | 66.54% ( 1.55) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.63% ( 1.28) | 49.37% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.78% ( 0.89) | 84.22% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Banfield |
| 1-0 @ 17.86% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.58)2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 47.6% | 0-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 30.5% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.88% |
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