SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
56.17% ( 1.65) | 26.23% ( 0.07) | 17.59% ( -1.72) |
| Both teams to score 39.25% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% ( -2.07) | 62.28% ( 2.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( -1.54) | 81.94% ( 1.54) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.17) | 22.44% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( -0.26) | 55.97% ( 0.25) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.61% ( -3.32) | 49.39% ( 3.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.77% ( -2.46) | 84.23% ( 2.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 16.56% ( 1.15) 2-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.8)2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.54% Total : 56.17% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.82)2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.4)Other @ 0.39% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.51)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.59% |
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