Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | Platense |
56.43% ( 0.2) | 25.66% ( 0.1) | 17.91% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 41.07% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.85% ( -0.69) | 60.15% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.65% ( -0.53) | 80.35% ( 0.53) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% ( -0.2) | 21.45% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% ( -0.31) | 54.47% ( 0.31) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.28% ( -0.79) | 47.72% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.98% ( -0.59) | 83.02% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente | Draw | Platense |
1-0 @ 15.75% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.42% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.91% |
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