Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 45.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Independiente win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
27.28% ( -0.47) | 27.42% ( -0.03) | 45.29% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 46.66% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% ( -0.13) | 58.34% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% ( -0.11) | 78.96% ( 0.1) |
Independiente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.8% ( -0.46) | 37.2% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.01% ( -0.46) | 73.99% ( 0.45) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.19) | 25.7% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.26) | 60.61% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Independiente | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.29% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.28% |
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