Although Independiente have won both of their home league games this season, the hosts may have to settle for a point against a Platense side that are yet to lose this season, and we think that the visitors will play out a fourth consecutive draw to maintain their unbeaten league record.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
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