SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Platense had a probability of 16.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Platense |
58.92% ( -0.01) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 16.97% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.05) | 56.09% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% ( -0.04) | 77.16% ( 0.04) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.13% ( -0.02) | 18.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.66% ( -0.04) | 50.33% ( 0.04) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.03) | 46.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.91% ( -0.02) | 82.09% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.91% | 1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.97% |
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