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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
38.91% ( 0.18) | 29.3% ( 0.6) | 31.79% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( -2.14) | 63.14% ( 2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.43% ( -1.57) | 82.57% ( 1.57) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.97) | 31.53% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -1.14) | 67.93% ( 1.14) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( -1.72) | 36.3% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% ( -1.78) | 73.08% ( 1.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.88)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.93% Total : 31.79% |
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