SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
47.35% ( -0.17) | 26.77% ( 0.08) | 25.88% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( -0.26) | 56.84% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( -0.21) | 77.77% ( 0.21) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.2) | 24.03% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.28) | 58.29% ( 0.27) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.43% ( -0.07) | 37.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.65% ( -0.07) | 74.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 25.88% |
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