SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Racing Club | 14 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| 3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.26%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
49.26% ( -0.83) | 27.04% ( 0.27) | 23.7% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( -0.49) | 59.28% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( -0.38) | 79.68% ( 0.38) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.6) | 24.2% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -0.85) | 58.54% ( 0.85) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.08% ( 0.25) | 40.92% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.52% ( 0.23) | 77.48% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.15)2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 49.25% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.25% Total : 23.7% |
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