SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | San Lorenzo |
59.7% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( -0.07) | 14.65% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 35.59% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.2) | 64.09% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.75% ( 0.14) | 83.25% ( -0.14) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% ( 0.11) | 21.74% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( 0.17) | 54.92% ( -0.17) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.48% ( 0.12) | 54.52% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.41% ( 0.07) | 87.59% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 18.08% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 13.8% 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 59.69% | 0-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.18% Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.65% |
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