SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 42.6%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
27.27% ( 0.15) | 30.12% ( 0.1) | 42.6% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 39.83% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.24) | 66.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.81% ( -0.16) | 85.18% ( 0.16) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.01) | 42.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.53% ( -0.01) | 78.46% ( 0) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.27) | 31.27% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.37% ( -0.31) | 67.63% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.16% Total : 27.27% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 15.28% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.6% |
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