SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Talleres in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
28.33% ( 0.51) | 27.15% ( 0.44) | 44.51% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% ( -1.36) | 56.88% ( 1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% ( -1.1) | 77.8% ( 1.1) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( -0.33) | 35.56% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.67% ( -0.34) | 72.32% ( 0.34) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -1.07) | 25.42% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( -1.49) | 60.24% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.33% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.51% |
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