SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Sarmiento |
53.49% ( -0.34) | 26.35% ( 0.19) | 20.16% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.01% ( -0.48) | 59.99% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% ( -0.37) | 80.23% ( 0.37) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.35) | 22.62% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( -0.52) | 56.24% ( 0.52) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.03% ( -0.12) | 44.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.09% ( -0.1) | 80.91% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.12% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.16% |
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