SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Sarmiento |
55.67% ( -0.61) | 26.7% ( 0.04) | 17.62% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 38.24% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.5) | 63.64% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.07% ( 0.36) | 82.93% ( -0.36) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% ( -0.05) | 23.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.07) | 57.15% ( 0.06) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.82% ( 1.04) | 50.18% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.22% ( 0.71) | 84.78% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 17.01% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.83% Total : 17.62% |
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