SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Tucuman would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
54.46% ( 0.59) | 26.75% ( -0.06) | 18.79% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 39.79% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.4% ( -0.33) | 62.6% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.82% ( -0.24) | 82.18% ( 0.24) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( 0.11) | 23.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( 0.16) | 57.26% ( -0.16) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.89% ( -0.82) | 48.11% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.69% ( -0.61) | 83.32% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Tucuman | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 16.33% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.23)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.4% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 18.79% |
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