Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.
