SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
59.28% ( -0.16) | 24.37% ( 0.01) | 16.35% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.62% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.14% ( 0.17) | 57.86% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.42% ( 0.14) | 78.58% ( -0.14) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.59% ( 0) | 19.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.77% ( 0) | 51.23% ( -0.01) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.31) | 48.36% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.51% ( 0.22) | 83.49% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 15.38% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.35% |
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