SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Colon had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Colon win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colon | Draw | Talleres |
36.1% ( 0.05) | 26.97% ( 0.55) | 36.93% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( -1.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( -2.27) | 54.24% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( -1.93) | 75.64% ( 1.93) |
| Colon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( -1.07) | 28.82% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.32% ( -1.35) | 64.68% ( 1.34) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -1.44) | 28.32% ( 1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -1.85) | 64.05% ( 1.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colon | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.92% |
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