SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
51.99% ( 1.21) | 24.97% ( -0.22) | 23.03% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.84% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.7% ( -0.02) | 52.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26% ( -0.01) | 73.99% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.89% ( 0.49) | 20.1% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.64% ( 0.78) | 52.36% ( -0.79) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.38% ( -0.92) | 37.62% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.6% ( -0.91) | 74.4% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 51.99% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.03% |
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