SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
49.99% ( 1.53) | 28.01% ( -0.2) | 22% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.41% ( -0.32) | 63.59% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.11% ( -0.23) | 82.89% ( 0.23) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( 0.59) | 25.79% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( 0.79) | 60.75% ( -0.79) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.88% ( -1.53) | 45.12% ( 1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.97% ( -1.25) | 81.03% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.77% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.48)2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.75% Total : 22% |
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