SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
42.71% ( -0.33) | 28.54% ( 0.12) | 28.75% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.49% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.48% ( -0.3) | 61.52% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% ( -0.22) | 81.38% ( 0.22) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.32) | 28.54% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.41) | 64.32% ( 0.41) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.01) | 37.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( 0.01) | 74.53% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 28.75% |
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