SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
30.71% ( 0.13) | 27.89% ( 0.1) | 41.4% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( -0.32) | 58.61% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( -0.25) | 79.17% ( 0.25) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( -0.07) | 34.66% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.61% ( -0.08) | 71.39% ( 0.07) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -0.29) | 27.86% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.37) | 63.46% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Sarandi | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 30.7% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 41.4% |
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