SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
31.44% ( 0.04) | 27% ( 0.01) | 41.56% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% ( -0.03) | 55.12% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% ( -0.03) | 76.37% ( 0.03) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% ( 0.01) | 68.81% ( -0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.05) | 26.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% ( -0.06) | 61.22% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 11.33% 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.55% |
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