SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
34.66% ( -0.96) | 28.44% ( -0.36) | 36.9% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.1% ( 1.26) | 59.9% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.84% ( 0.95) | 80.16% ( -0.95) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( 0.02) | 32.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.89% ( 0.02) | 69.11% ( -0.01) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 1.49) | 31.13% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( 1.7) | 67.46% ( -1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.54) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.66% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.49)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.89% |
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