SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
51.16% ( 0.07) | 26.22% ( 0.15) | 22.61% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.7% ( -0.74) | 57.3% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.86% ( -0.59) | 78.14% ( 0.59) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -0.28) | 22.49% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( -0.42) | 56.06% ( 0.42) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.64) | 40.85% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( -0.58) | 77.42% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.7% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 51.15% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.61% |
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