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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 17, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
0 - 1
Barracas Central


Forclaz (14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin Cantero (90')
Herrera (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, July 10 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Tigre 1-1 Barracas Central

There is not an awful lot between these two sides in terms of quality, and while Barracas will enter the match in the stronger form, we are expecting a very close match on Monday. A case could be made for either to win it, but we have ultimately had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 65.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
TigreDrawBarracas Central
65.65% (-1.355 -1.35) 21.09% (0.658 0.66) 13.25% (0.697 0.7)
Both teams to score 43.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (-1.125 -1.13)51.2% (1.127 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (-0.992 -0.99)73.04% (0.99299999999999 0.99)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (-0.78399999999999 -0.78)14.82% (0.785 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.88% (-1.515 -1.52)43.12% (1.518 1.52)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.17% (0.439 0.44)48.83% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.16% (0.313 0.31)83.84% (-0.31 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 65.64%
    Barracas Central 13.25%
    Draw 21.09%
TigreDrawBarracas Central
1-0 @ 13.81% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 13.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.277 -0.28)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.53% (-0.152 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 65.64%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.291 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.322 0.32)
2-2 @ 3.39% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.09%
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 3.55% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 13.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Libertad 2-1 Tigre
Friday, July 14 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Instituto 0-1 Tigre
Sunday, July 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tigre 1-2 Banfield
Wednesday, July 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-0 Tigre
Sunday, July 2 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-0 Tigre
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tigre 2-1 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, June 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, July 10 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Barracas Central
Friday, July 7 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 2-1 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Barracas Central
Thursday, June 22 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-0 Rosario
Friday, June 9 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 5-2 Barracas Central
Friday, June 2 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division


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