SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Tigre |
38.88% ( -0) | 29.45% ( -0.01) | 31.67% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.19% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.35% ( 0.04) | 63.65% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.06% ( 0.03) | 82.94% ( -0.03) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( 0.02) | 31.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( 0.02) | 68.25% ( -0.02) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% ( 0.03) | 36.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.54% ( 0.03) | 73.46% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.87% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.44% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 31.67% |
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