Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 71.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 9.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.28%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.06) 
