SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.38%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Talleres |
36.92% ( -2.17) | 30.8% ( 1.49) | 32.27% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 39.9% ( -3.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.35% ( -4.43) | 67.65% ( 4.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.3% ( -3.07) | 85.7% ( 3.07) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( -3.71) | 35.18% ( 3.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( -4.08) | 71.93% ( 4.08) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% ( -1.96) | 38.44% ( 1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.8% ( -1.92) | 75.19% ( 1.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.68)3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.39)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.53)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.91% | 0-0 @ 13.52% ( 2.04) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.53)Other @ 0.4% Total : 30.79% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 1.35) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.61% Total : 32.27% |
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